History Says - Coolmore Classic

Daysee Doom has been a brilliant mare to Ron Quinton, but not even the champion jockey-turned-trainer would have considered her worthy of a mention alongside Sunline and Emancipation.

But she will have done something only those champions have achieved if she wins the $600,000 Group 1 Coolmore Classic for a second time this Saturday.

In the 46-year history of the 1500-metre handicap for fillies and mares, only Sunline has won it on more than one occasion.

The Kiwi legend won it in 2000 and 2002, under 60 kilograms on each occasion. That is the same weight Emancipation carried to victory - with Quinton in the saddle - in 1984.

Those two are the only mares to lump at least 58kg to victory in the Coolmore Classic.

Eighteen others have attempted to carry at least that weight to victory, for six minor placings.

Melito carried 59.5kg into third in 2011, while Joyita (second, 1979), Private Steer (second 2004), Secret Admirer (second, 2012), Sarsha's Choice (third, 1978) and Catkins (third, (2014) all carried 58kg.

That's the weight Daysee Doom will carry on Saturday, 12 months after she won it with 57kg.

Since 1992, 19 of the 27 Coolmore winners have carried between 53kg and 55kg, including seven of the past nine.

Not many punters concede Daysee Doom a chance on Saturday, but that was also the case last year, when she won as a $21 chance, which continued a run of double-figure odds winners.

Five of the nine winners who started favourite since it became a Group 1 event in 1984 scored between 2000 and 2011, but it has been a lean race for those at the head of the market since Aloha scored as $4.80 favourite eight years ago.

Steps In Time, who started $8, is the shortest-priced winner since with all others at double-figure odds, including Daysee Doom and the previous winner Heavens Above ($26).

They both won it out of the Millie Fox, a race that has provided three of the past four winners.

The Verdict: Honing in on those who have between 53kg and 55kg, ideally mares who came through the Millie Fox Stakes. I AM SERIOUS is the only one who fits the weight profile who did that, so happy to side with her even though she has come up favourite.

Daysee Doom and Andrew Adlkins winning the 2018 Group 1 Coolmore Classic at Rosehill, picture