Friday meeting preview, selections, comments and odds.
Another all Poly meeting and it may pay to keep your ear to the ground on the day and one eye on the tote, as it looks a day for improvers in some light on fields.
Case in point is race 4 where the top three Kranjiracing.com picks - SWIFT EMBRACE, OL MATE BUZZER and THOMAS DE LAGO - all finished well out of the placing’s at their respective last starts.
OL MATE BUZZER was especially disappointing with support on debut but he has subsequently trialed well and the 4YO only has to bring his form from the training track to win a race like this.
We have to wait for race 7 for not only the best race on the card, but the best bet on the card in KRATOS.
The 4YO has done little wrong at his last eight starts and given what he showed winning two of his last three before a spell, he is very hard to beat in what is a very suitable race.
If the Poly specialist is not on his game, two other horses resuming in RED DAWN and SUPER HERO could keep him honest with both impressing at recent trials.
Best Bets: (KRATOS race 7, win), (FRAGRANCE EMPIRE race 3, value) and (HONGCHEN race 6, value).
Bankers for Jackpots: Race 5 (1, 2, 5, 6, 7 and 8), race 6 (1, 3, 4 and 8), race 7 (1, 2, 4 and 8), race 8 (1, 3, 4 and 6).
Race cards and Larry Foley's synopsis follows and for updates on all runners go to www.kranjiracing.com
Please note the odds listed are "reference odds" only.
Selections; 1 SOON YI - 6 SECONDWAVE - 4 SOLITAIRE - 3 KUBERA'S CHIEF
SECONDWAVE may not be a superstar and may struggle to ever race against anything bar Class 5 Company, but he has found form and can win the opener. The 9YO knocked in just his second career win at start 51 but that was on the back of some good form and, given he just missed last start, he is hard to hold out in this weak field. In saying that, SOON YI pulled up lame when running on at his first start back in Class 5 when finishing third and would be hard to hold out in this field if right. SOLITAIRE also showed last start that Class 5 is his caper and while drawn the widest, he will be running on and wins without surprising. Nothing else is worth considering although KUBERA'S CHIEF could be the big improver with gate 3 and a senior hoop in Ryan Curatolo both factors. Betting Strategy - SOON YI win.
1 SOON YI *** Ran on and pulled up lame last start at first outing since dropping into class 5. Claim helps and suited this company. Should be in the finish. 3.00
2 TOP BANANA * Struggles. 50
3 KUBERA'S CHIEF ** Extremely disappointing of late but could figure from gate 3 in this field. 10
4 SOLITAIRE *** Drawn wide but showed last start when running on well that he is ready to win in this Company. 4.00
5 FLYING SHADOW ** Had support and just fair last start but may appreciate drop back in trip. 12
6 SECONDWAVE *** In a rich vein of form and should figure heavily in this finish. 3.00
7 HIPPO VENTURA * Blinkers off, tongue-tie on but hard to have back in trip. 50
8 SIMPANG ** Solid of late without being a winning threat and can include in exotics. 20
9 BOHEMIAN ** Maiden who ran on well enough last weekend to keep safe. 12
10 KING OF THIEVES * No. 50
Selections; 9 WECANDO - 1 KISS YOUR SONG - 7 GEB WARRIOR - 5 HIGH LIMIT
While we will keep a couple of horses - including a debutante - on notice, this Restricted Maiden does look a race in two between KISS YOUR SONG and WECANDO. Both horses finished second at the their respective last runs and while KISS YOUR SONG lost in a head-bobber, WECANDO has more upside with improvement likely after what was a very solid debut. The 3YO also had heavy support on that occasion on the back of some good trial form and from gate 5 he will be hard to hold out with G Boss retaining the ride. KISS YOUR SONG does win without surprising - he is due - and 1200m shouldn't be an issue with race fitness and gate 1 in his favour. The debutante that appeals is GEB WARRIOR who has shown enough at the trials to think he has something to offer while HIGH LIMIT placed in Class 4 on the Poly two starts back so he too must be respected. CONATUS G resuming and GLAMOROUS two others to keep safe. Betting Strategy - WECANDO/KISS YOUR SONG forecast/swinger.
1 KISS YOUR SONG *** Fought hard to just miss last start over 1100m with gap to third and will look the winner late in this. 3.00
2 GLAMOROUS ** Runs on solidly as a rule and should figure late. 10
3 GINGERMAN * Hard to have on form and wide draw a concern but having first race start on the Poly so could improve. 25
4 PHAN NEE STAR * Struggles as a rule. 100
5 HIGH LIMIT ** Did it tough last start in Class 4 and placed at his previous outing in that grade so some hope back in Maiden Company. 20
6 CONATUS G ** Resuming after solid placing at start two and pay to keep safe with winkers and tongue-tie added. 12
7 GEB WARRIOR ** Taken a while to get to the races but has shown enough at the trials to keep an eye on the tote on debut. 6.00
8 MACHO MAN * No. 100
9 WECANDO *** Backed up some good trial form with a strong debut with support suggesting he wins sooner than later. 2.00
10 TIGER FORCE * Tongue-tie off but has struggled at the races. 100
Selections; 5 FRAGRANCE EMPIRE - 3 INVINCIBLE MAN - 2 ELITE WARRIOR - 6 LUCKY BOY
Truth be told this is one of the weakest Class 4 - albeit non-premier - fields seen in recent times and finding the winner is extremely tough. So while it's hard to be confident, FRAGRANCE EMPIRE looks well placed to knock in a win. The 8YO looks in very poor form on paper but he had excuses last start not to finish closer on the turf and he will improve again back on his preferred surface. The horse he may have to pass late to win is INVINCIBLE MAN who gets to jump from gate 1. On best recent form he would be a good thing in this field but he returned a roarer (again) last start so has to be a risk. ELITE WARRIOR had support last start and looked to have every chance but blinkers are off and he gets his chance in this weak field. Market best guide on the rest although LUCKY BOY won two starts back in Class 5 and that form could hold up here. Betting Strategy - FRAGRANCE EMPIRE each-way.
1 COUNTRY QUACK ** Form reads badly but freshened and could be running on in this field. 12
2 ELITE WARRIOR *** Blinkers off after looking to have every chance with support last start in similar affair so have to take on trust. 3.00
3 INVINCIBLE MAN *** Has had respiratory issues of late but goes good enough when right to keep safe with gate 1 a factor. 3.00
4 WHITE COFFEE * Veteran who has been showing glimpses of form of late but wide gate back in trip makes this tough. 20
5 FRAGRANCE EMPIRE *** Traffic excuses when making up good ground at odds last start and will appreciate being back on the Poly. Can win. 6.00
6 LUCKY BOY ** Excuses last start on turf and won two back on the Poly - albeit in Class 5 - so worth thought. 8.00
7 TOU SHOU BRIGHT ** Solid as a rule and this field is weak enough to include in exotics. 20
8 MILITARY MIGHT ** Better on the turf but showed enough late last start on the Poly to consider. 8.00
9 DRAGON GOLD * Resuming and hard to have on form from last campaign. 50
Selections; 5 OL MATE BUZZER - 2 SWIFT EMBRACE - 6 THOMAS DE LAGO - 7 PACIFIC PEARL
A terrible field where only a few horses have picked up a cheque in their careers and a last start third placing is the only good recent form to go on. The horse in question is PACIFIC PEARL who ran a very cheeky race at long odds in a weak field and she has to be respected on that effort. Others to consider include SWIFT EMBRACE who has placed in 2018 - that is better than most - and with headgear added after a disappointing effort last start when supported, he goes close while QINGDAO also gets head-gear after a poor run of form and can improve with V Duric to ride. But the one to watch is OLD MATE BUZZER. The 4YO was very disappointing on debut with support but his subsequent trial suggests he improves for the experience and hard to beat with a handy 4kg claim. THOMAS DE LAGO should also be better than what he showed on debut so keep safe on previous trial form. Betting Strategy - OL MATE BUZZER win.
1 QINGDAO ** Has shown glimpses and gets blinkers/pacifiers so worth thought with Duric up in the weak field. 16
2 SWIFT EMBRACE *** Also gets blinkers/pacifiers added plus a tongue-tie and gets his chance in this field. 3.00
3 HIGH STREET * Struggles as a rule but so do most others in this field. 33
4 LINCOLN FAME * Resuming after terrible debut. 33
5 OL MATE BUZZER *** Super disappointing when fading badly with support on debut but has subsequently trialed well so can make amends, 2.00
6 THOMAS DE LAGO *** Never looked comfortable on debut and happy to give another chance on trial form. 12
7 PACIFIC PEARL *** Looked the winner at long odds in a similar weak affair last start and have to respect on that effort. 5.00
8 MERCHANT MARINE ** Returned lame at Singapore debut but should improve for the run with tongue-tie added for this. 33
9 ULTIMATE KILLER * Shown little. 50
Selections; 2 TYPHON - 1 FAREES - 8 ROYAL GUARD - 7 SPECIAL RAIN
An odd race given all eight horses look to have winning chances on trial or race form and it may pay to have a longer look on market movers on the day. As it stands, TYPHON broke his maiden status in Class 4 (non premier) three starts back and won again in similar company last start. Both those wins were on the turf but he has Poly form to his name and he can win again. Shane Baertschiger has two live hopes in FAREES at the top of the weights and ROYAL GUARD at the bottom. FAREES was disappointing last start but worth another look with blinkers off and ROYAL GUARD went oh-so close to break his Singapore duck last start and get this chance in this. Blanket over the rest of the small field with one eye on the tote. Betting Strategy - FAREES each-way.
1 FAREES *** Blinkers off after poor run on the turf last start and worth another look back on the Poly. 6.00
2 TYPHON *** Recent winning form on the turf but has handled the Poly previously and must go close. 4.00
3 MAIDANZ BEAUTY ** Resuming with some good trials under her belt and market best guide sans blinkers. 20
4 DAZZLING SPEED ** Former Kiwi who won once and placed another three times from eight career starts. Quiet trials local so watch for support. 6.00
5 OCEAN GENERAL *** Won in slightly easier Class 4 company last start but have to respect here with only 1kg more. 6.00
6 SNIP *** Speedster who faded last start but will look the winner at some stage in straight. 6.00
7 SPECIAL RAIN *** Backing up after just fair last start but a big hope in this field on form prior. 6.00
8 ROYAL GUARD *** Yet to win in Singapore but went very close last start and should figure in this finish. 6.00
Selections; 1 HONGCHEN - 8 CARNELIAN - 4 YULONG HONOR - 3 SMART VINTAGE
Another even race where nothing jumps off the page to win but a Class dropper in HONGCHEN could be a good pace to start. The 7YO won three starts back in this Company and showed enough last start over an unsuitable trip to think he can win over 1700m with the experienced R Curatolo booking a pointer. MOMENT OF JUSTICE will also find this Company to his liking, however, his best form is on the turf and does look a better option on that surface. Of the rest, CARNELIAN just missed last start in a similar affair and wins this without surprising while YULONG HONOR is improving with racing and looks ready to win back on the all-weather. Go even wider in exotics with SMART VINTAGE likely to be the best of the swoopers. Betting Strategy - HONGCHEN each-way.
1 HONGCHEN *** Ignore recent form as this trip and company is his caper. Big show. 5.00
2 MOMENT OF JUSTICE ** Best form is on the turf but very much appreciates drop to Class 4 with V Duric from gate 1 a factor. 8.00
3 SMART VINTAGE *** Ran on strongly to be in the mix last start in similar affair and expect much the same with Rodd retaining the ride. 4.00
4 YULONG HONOR *** Improving with racing and will enjoying being back on the all-weather. 6.00
5 AVENGERS HERO ** Drawn wide but can go forward and give a sight at odds. 33
6 HOLY GRAIL * Easier to ignore. 100
7 JUSTICE GRACE * Disappointing of late and needs to show more. 33
8 CARNELIAN *** In the mix in similar affair last start and gets his chance in this field. 4.00
9 DREAM BIG ** Maiden who was disappointing last start but form prior has him having a say late. 6.00
10 SILENT ARROW ** Longtime between wins and like to see in Class 5 but showed enough late last start to keep safe at odds. 15
Selections; 2 KRATOS - 4 RED DAWN - 8 SUPER HERO - 1 FLAK JACKET
On a day where it may have been tough to find winners, KRATOS resuming could get things back on track. The 4YO bombed on debut but has done little wrong winning three and not finishing out of the places at his next eight starts. He has drawn badly in 10 but has speed and expect Michael Rodd to use that to his advantage. The danger could be another horse resuming in RED DAWN. The 6YO hasn't won for nearly a year but was in solid form last campaign and a very nice recent trial suggests he can show up with a handy 4kg S Kok claim. Of the rest, SUPER HERO is also resuming and trials like he has some say at value while FLAK JACKET very much appreciates this Company and could show up at a rare Poly outing. Betting Strategy - KRATOS win.
1 FLAK JACKET *** Not often seen on the Poly but ran on well late last start and comes under consideration in this company. 7.00
2 KRATOS *** Resuming. Very progressive Poly sprinter who would give this a shake with tongue-tie added. 2.00
3 POLE PARADISE ** Has been disappointing since record breaking win over 1100m back in October but can consider each-way at odds. 20
4 RED DAWN *** Resuming in what is a very suitable race and some hope with 4kg claim on the back of a good trial. 4.00
5 SUPERNOVA * Will appreciate company but needs longer. 50
6 STOCK BROKER * Struggled this Company last start and needs easier. 50
7 BEST WISHES * Turned around some poor form to win in easier Company last start and this may be too tough. 50
8 SUPER HERO *** Resuming after bleeding attack but has won first up previously and trials have been good enough to keep safe at odds. 12
9 WHITE CHIN ** Drawn badly and form poor but freshened with a good enough trial to think he can improve. 33
10 YULONG XIONG BA ** Improved to place at second start in Singapore and worth a look at first start on the Poly. 12
11 CLASSIFIED * No. 200
12 LONGHU ** Not a mile away last start on the turf and a better option back on the Poly with gate 1 a factor. Value. 12
Selections; 4 PARAGON STAR - 3 TAICHI BELT - 6 SAINT LINCOLN - 1 ARR FLAIR
Hopefully KRATOS won the seventh race as the lucky last looks another where nothing jumps off the page. Oddly, there are two last start winners in this average Class 4 non-premier field - SILVER WIN FORTUNE and SAINT LINCOLN - but not sure the form from Maiden and Class 5 Company will hold up so play with care. PARAGON STAR probably has the best recent form in the field and had traffic excuses last start. He handles the Poly and hopefully gets a fair run from the wide gate, as he will go very close. Two horses back in trip in ARR FLAIR and TAICHI BELT both come under notice on solid form with Rodd and Duric bookings respectively a factor. Betting Strategy - PARAGON STAR win.
1 ARR FLAIR ** Back in trip and does look better suited over longer but last win was over 1200m so keep safe. 5.00
2 SILVER WIN FORTUNE * Won a very weak maiden last start and will find this tough from gate 12. 7.00
3 TAICHI BELT *** Back in trip but has pace and could figure prominently with Duric from gate 5. 4.00
4 PARAGON STAR *** Wide draw a concern but had traffic excuses last start and handles the Poly so worth thought. 4.00
5 PRINCE FERDINAND * Never involved last start from wide gate but may need easier Company. 33
6 SAINT LINCOLN ** Broke maiden status in fine form in Class 5 last start and can consider although this is tougher. 4.00
7 MURDOCH * Reassess over longer and perhaps easier. 33
8 PARKER * Appreciates first up run but may be better suited on the turf over longer. 20
9 SATELLITE TURBO * Gets a tongue-tie but struggles. 200
10 SUN EMPIRE * Can go forward but better suited on turf over 1400m. 33
11 SUPERTEN ** Should need easier but work late when resuming suggests he has something to offer at odds. 33
12 MILLION ROUND * Class 5 specialist and happy to wait. 50