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Racepal.com.au previews for the meetings at Flemington and Randwick today

Racepal.com.au previews for the meetings at Flemington and Randwick today - race by race previews;

FLEMINGTON

Track: Good 4

Rail: +8m entire

Weather: Mostly sunny

Back to Flemington for the first time since the Carnival and fine weather should ensure a Good surface is served up. With no recent traffic the track should be fairly even for all.

RACE 1
Speed map/race shape: Anzac Day at Flemington kicks off with a staying event. The big grey Valac can lead from NZ raider Sampson, giving Self Sense and Sin To Win an ideal trail.

Advantaged runners: The small field of eight means BASS won’t be far off them in the run and he will be hard to hold out here. First up in Australia over 1800m he flew home to go down a nostril brings UK form through Melbourne Cup winner Rekindling. It will take a good one to beat him and SELF SENSE at least has the runs on the board. He was last seen finishing two lengths off Gallic Chieftain at Group 2 level. Perhaps SAMPSON brings something different. The Kiwi stayers tend to measure up over here and the NZ St Leger winner obviously arrives with a plan in mind. Respect to VALAC if he gets things his own way in front and OBSERVATIONAL who took ground of PLEIN CIEL late in the Easter Cup last start.

RACE 2
Speed map/race shape: Just eight acceptors for the second as well. The speed comes on the grandstand side down the straight track from Big Reel and Written Choice, giving cover to The Centaurian and Rocket Tommy.

Advantaged runners: A few of these on-pacers might be sitting shots late. Both BANDIPUR and INVINCIBLE AL get in very well at the weights. Bandipur was a driving winner at Caulfield last start over 1200m and that may actually bode well for the drop in trip here. Two back at the track and trip he was arguably in inferior ground when third to Superhard. Invincible Al will be coming on strong as well, he isn’t always at the top of his game first up but does have an affinity with the Flemington straight. On ratings ROCK ‘N’ GOLD should be very competitive but he’s been racing at 1400m lately and the move to accept here is confusing. WRITTEN CHOICE and BIG REEL can give a sight but may be outclassed late.

RACE 3
Speed map/race shape: Most runners stepping up in trip and therefore could race handier than they had previously. The main candidates to lead include Deserved and Wedgetail, with Super Seth handy in the run from a good draw.

Advantaged runners: Looking towards runners who have been hitting the line strongly at 1200m in recent starts. SUPER SETH is the obvious, his last start win to remain unbeaten was awesome. He looks to have considerable talent and this is a smart next step mapped out by a savvy stable. DESERVED ground home to beat a few of these on debut and being by Dundeel you’d assume she’ll appreciate the extra trip. ANGEL ROCK was again unlucky last start but attacked the line like the extra furlong would suit, while CHAILLOT must be respected on the last-to-first debut win.

RACE 4
Speed map/race shape: Bigger field for the fourth over 1710m. Analytica and Zouy’s Comet should come out running from wider draws and cross Algiers and Predecessor to lead. Many of the stronger runners are coming from off-pace and may get moving on the turn.

Advantaged runners: This may be a battle of the fitter fillies and taking on the resuming/freshened geldings. In the red corner are ZALATTE and LIMESHOW. Zalatte can be forgiven her beaten margin when well backed in the G3 Adrian Knox. Two starts prior she was 2.7L off Nakeeta Jane and will improve on a dry track. Limeshow has produced two strong finishes against the pattern at Sandown and now gets to an ideal event third up and can strike from midfield. DECLARES WAR has been freshened for this, while VOW AND DECLARE and NOT A SINGLE CENT resume after contesting Stakes grade Spring events, all will be running on. ANALYTICA is the wildcard and will put himself in the race on-pace.

RACE 5
Speed map/race shape: Sky Call and Asgard Massif can control this three-year-old event from the 1400m start, with Outrageous and Igniter handy as well.

Advantaged runners: From a midfield position, ZOUTORI gets an ideal set up to go 2/2 this prep. He was Stakes-competitive in the Spring – finishing just 2.5L off Ringerdingding in the G2 Sandown Guineas – and returned from a spell to win at Pakenham when doing all the work. Second and third have since gone well. He’ll race in close quarters with OUTRAGEOUS – he’s the class of the field and well weighted with Poy’s claim. MRS O’MALLEY flies the flag for the fillies, she’s drawn wide but would have gone back anyway and Flemington should suit her racing style. IGNITER will like this trip and looks to have come on from the Spring.

RACE 6
Speed map/race shape: Big field for the St Leger. Transact will go forward from the middle and be joined by Wil John from out wide. Rock Dove, Jenstar, Budd Fox and Miss France will all settle in the first half. Don’t expect any speed records to be broken here.

Advantaged runners: STARS OF CARRUM is extremely well suited by the set weights conditions. He enjoyed an ideal run behind the winner in the ATC Derby but just didn’t handle the wet himself. His prior runs all pointed to a preparation that was on track, and now he gets back to the scene of his VRC Derby second. The Laing-trained colt looks extremely difficult to beat. TRANSACT has been doing good things of late up on the pace and his form ties in with the likes of BUDD FOX, AMERICAN IN PARIS and CONVICT SAM who all look promising staying psocpects. Of the fillies, ROCK DOVE has been up forever but is honest as the day is long and was close up in the G3 Adrian Knox. JENSTAR and MINER’S MISS are the other fillies to pay close attention. All need to step up to beat the favourite.

RACE 7
Speed map/race shape: Call Me Handsome will likely look to cross them all from the widest gate here, with Al Passem, Dark Eyes and Second Bullet close by. No great pressure on here.

Advantaged runners: Not the deepest field in the Les Carlyon. CALL ME HANDSOME may be testing the patience of some punters but things certainly work out well for him on paper in this event. The last time he was beaten more than 1.6L was by Avilius back in early February – and that day he endured a tough run. He’ll try and lead all the way.  SECOND BULLET may get first crack at him. He’s been freshened after just missing in the Launceston Cup, but was humming along prior. He loves Flemington! MANTASTIC is in a rich vein of form and will be among the main closers if the tempo allows – the layout here suits him. DANE THUNDER can’t be dismissed after defying the pattern to place at Caulfield, the winner has won again, while HAPPY PHARRELL is a major unknown first up in Australia.

RACE 8
Speed map/race shape: A few runners keen to sit up on the pace here including Winkelmann, Pria Eclipse, Truly Discreet and Special Diva.

Advantaged runners: The Fillies and Mares take on the mile in the last. TRULY DISCREET looks a major player out of an ideal form line. She drove through a gap to win third up and gets a similar run, she’s ready for the mile. TEMPLE OF BEL made ground against the bias to run a place there. Her best form would win this – her last look at the Flemington mile was at Group 1 level (beaten just two lengths!). JESTER HALO brings the other intriguing form line through Miss Siska, who was a whisker off Group 1 glory in Sydney. She’s another one ready to step back up to the mile. It is hard to knock WINKELMANN’s form and she’ll get a few favours on pace, while PENNY TO SELL hasn’t been beaten too far away in good company at her past couple so can be a contender at odds.

ROYAL RANDWICK

Track: Good 4

Rail: +9m entire

Weather: Mostly sunny

A trouble free-lead up to the third raceday in a week at Randwick, albeit Monday’s meeting was held on the Kensington track. The rail shifts to +9m on the main track for Anzac Day and they might start to gain access to the far outside fast lanes here for the first time in a while.

RACE 1
Speed map/race shape: Small field for the first over 1400m. Romantic Whisper can lead comfortably here, while it wouldn’t surprise to see Les Amoureux handy.

Advantaged runners: Two debutants in the field of seven, REGENT STREET and THE GOLDEN BEAR. Both have put in pleasing recent trials in decent company and bear a market watch. LEX AMOUREUX is forever close to breaking her maiden and today could be the day. She’s on the week back up from a good Warwick Farm maiden. ROMANTIC WHISPER is also second up off a good run – the form from her first prep has stood up. IVIRA is fit and it wasn’t long ago she was competitive against G1 galloper Mizzy, while UNCLE MO may improve on drier ground.

RACE 2
Speed map/race shape: Too many unknowns to set out a speed map with 10 of the 14 2YO Fillies on debut. But, we expect Our Girl Sniti and Precisely (emergency) to go forward.

Advantaged runners: Expect LIBERTINI to be well found here. She put in a super debut to split the smart Bivouac and Athiri in the Group 3 Kindergarten and this is a sharp drop back in class. She’ll be tough to hold out despite the draw. OUR GIRL SNITI rounded out the trifecta in a Heavy track debut behind Stakes-competitive Wayupinthesky and Badia and will be prominent throughout. Keep a close eye on the Waller debutants BORN TO PLAY and TRACY MAY who have caught the eye in recent trials.

RACE 3
Speed map/race shape: Only five of the 14 on debut in the 2YO Colts and Geldings division. No certainties in the speed map but expect exposed runners Disruptor Jailbreak, Lost Light and Ready To Humble to go forward, plus the Waterhouse & Bott first starter Discharged.

Advantaged runners: Keen to see the debut of RELOADED. The Waller stable have an opinion of this Snitzel colt and McDonald will steer after riding him in both recent trials. The sticky draw is a concern and he will likely go back for cover. He’ll spot DISRUPTOR a start. He was second to Anaheed at his only start in Heavy going, that filly has been Group 1 competitive since. He’s been given time to mature and has trialled well. The likes of INDUSTRIAL and JAILBREAK also have the benefit of a previous preparation and form around smart gallopers so should be in the mix.

RACE 4
Speed map/race shape: Maddison Avenue switches back to the Sydney way of going and can take this up alongside Cuban Belle, with perhaps Vive Marie and Wild Impact handy.

Advantaged runners: Just eight acceptors for the Fillies and Mares mile event and it may not be the highest pressure affair we’ve seen. MADDISON AVENUE is a big show to lead all the way and make it three wins in her last four starts. She’s in the zone. There will be a couple hunting her down though. The filly JULKKIS was scratched from Monday to run here and is also in winning form – the Dundeels are flying. The more experienced LADY EVELYN will also be making her presence felt – she ground away behind Sure Knee first up, who has since nearly won a Melbourne Saturday race. WILD IMPACT is a four-year-old with only one start to his name (a win) and is a market watch, as is the US import UNA FUERZA for Jean Dubois.

RACE 5
Speed map/race shape: Just seven runners in the Anzac Day Cup. White Boots should lead and drag King Tomlola over from Milseain and Hogmanay in a fairly moderate gallop.

Advantaged runners: Three last start winners here, including the likely leader WHITE BOOTS. He’s won two from four this prep, the other runs being respectable placings behind Supernova and Desert Lord. This race may just work out his way. MILSEAIN beat home KING TOMLOLA last time in a leader-dominated affair. That was on a Heavy track though and White Boots is hard to get past on top of the ground, as HOGMANAY found out last time. KARAVALI and GIRL TUESDAY drop back from Group 3 company after a freshen, THE BANDIT was last seen winning the Muswellbrook Cup. Nothing is hopeless here.

RACE 6
Speed map/race shape: Anticipating Above and Beyond will attempt to jump and run from the wider gate to lead with Bare Naked Lady, leaving Reginae and Charretera in the trail.

Advantaged runners: Those settling on speed should be hard to get past in theory here. ABOVE AND BEYOND makes appeal on return after three months off. He’s a jump and run type who has handled similar set ups before. He finished alongside BARE NAKED LADY in the trifecta at Warwick Farm back in December when both were engaged on-speed in a high pressure affair. REGINAE beat that filly in a recent trial then was no match for Kylease first up, but gets the drop on them here and brings handy Spring form. CHARRETERA peeled off Reginae’s back to finish alongside the filly there and can also improve second up. If anything can run on from behind them it is UNGUARDED who will appreciate the drier ground.

RACE 7
Speed map/race shape: Again, just eight acceptors for this BM70 over 1400m. The resuming Wolfe should lead from barrier 7 and control the event from Kosciusko and Something Fast.

Advantaged runners: It is hard not to be impressed by what WOLFE brings to the table. He scored two all-the-way wins in his first prep and has recently trialled well alongside the likes of Happy Clapper! He’ll attempt to emulate those prior wins here. This is a step up for KOSCIUSKO but he does bring a likeable racing style to the event. Wary of LEVEL EIGHT if he can lob in a handy spot. He’s the fit runner who hasn’t been too far away at his last two, and before that was ‘best of the rest’ behind Classique Legend first up. Respect KING HEWITT.

RACE 8
Speed map/race shape: Biggest field of the day in the last and high pressure too. Topweights Nicobelle and Discussions will want to go forward from wide. They’ll have Goldfinch, Lion Couchant, Omar and Puppet Master for company. Advantaged runners: A host of chances in the finale. SOUTHERN LAD is a proven first up sprinter and will appreciate the tempo on up front. He’s only lightly raced and on the up, as is OMAR who may retreat out of the speed battle and take cover. He knows how to find the line. NICOBELLE has proven himself in similar grade but will have to absorb plenty of pressure up front, as will PUPPET MASTER and GOLDFINCH – but on paper they have the numbers to win. DISCUSSIONS does his best work deeper in the prep but can’t be ignored.

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