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Raceday wagering review

The wagering review of Saturday's TAB.com.au fixed odds betting for races at the Villiers Stakes meeting at Randwick and Flemington plus a Futures markets updates.

FUTURES UPDATE

MAGIC MILLIONS 2YO CLASSIC

Yes Yes Yes $26-$15 AND THEN in to $8 (after winning r1 @ Flemington)

Better Reflection $51-$26 AND THEN in to $15 (after winning Callaway Gal Stakes)

The Odyssey $51-$26 AND THEN in to $11 (after winning Phelan Ready Stakes)


ROSEHILL

 

RACE ONE

Punters were on the money in the TAB Highway Handicap (1000 metres) with Sei Stella landing the cash.

Although she got out late in betting to $2.90 after being as low as $2.50, the Matty Dale-trained mare was simply brilliant in leading throughout.

Anchois ($14-$6) was a big firmer and ran right up to that support to finish second, while Invincible Tammy ($31-$26) found the line well for third.

Sei Stella, ridden by Jay Ford, was responsible for 63 percent of the total investment.

BETS: Sei Stella $1,500 @ $3.10, $1,500 @ $2.90, $1,000 @ $2.90, $2,243 @ $2.80, $1,000 @ $2.80 TWICE, $2,000 @ $2.50, $1,000 @ $2.50

 

RACE TWO

Deprive was really strong to the line in winning the Summer Racing Handicap (1100 metres).

Ridden patiently by Hugh Bowman, Deprive ($5) had to wait for gaps to appear after straightening but once they did, he sprinted hard to overhaul Miss Toorak Flyer ($14-$19) which looked the winner at the 200m mark.

Mister Songman was very popular with punters and wound up third at $4.80.

While the James Cummings-trained winner was popular, Military Zone ($5) held more as did Mister Songman. The late move was for Ready To Prophet ($12-$8.50) which led but faded out of it.

BETS: Deprive $3,000 @ $5

 

RACE THREE

Rank outsider Star Reflection upset the apple cart for favourite backers in the Catanach's Handicap (1200 metres).

The Kris Lees-trained runner flew home late to nail the very popular Seasons ($2.10-$2.30) in the shadows of the post, knocking most people out of the Early Quaddie in the process.

Savvan ($16-$7.50) came in for good eachway support and wound up in third.

Seasons went around with nearly 65 percent of the market on its back while the big disappointment was Sweet Scandal ($4.80-$7.50), which enjoyed a good run behind the leader but couldn't quicken when asked.

BETS: Seasons $4,000 @ $2.30, $3,000 @ $2.30, $4,000 @ $2.25, $2,000 @ $2.25

 

RACE FOUR

Our Century shrugged off a drift in betting to be far too strong for his rivals in the Christmas Cup (2400 metres).

The Kim Waugh runner was installed as $2.60 second pick on Wednesday and was still that price today, however, he drifted out to $3.70 at the jump.

The gelding proved best in holding off race favourite Exoteric ($2.25-$2.80) and Destiny's Kiss ($6-$5.50) which had been as much as $10.

Of the others, the biggest push today came for Wall Of Fire which more than halved its quote, going $11 to $5.50, but it dropped out after trailing the winner throughout.

BETS: Our Century $2,026 @ $3.70, $1,500 @ $3.70

BETS: Wall Of Fire $1,000 @ $5.50

BETS: Destiny's Kiss $1,000 @ $5.50

 

RACE FIVE

Hugh Bowman rode the perfect race on Inglis Nursery (1000 metres) to guide Accession to a handy win.

The Chris Waller-trained runner was able to slot into a good spot in running (fourth) and following the speed. Bowman eased around heels on straightening and the son of Brazen Beau doing the rest, racing clear to beat the fast-finishing Strasbourg ($3.80-$5). Namino ($13-$19) also caught the eye by winding up in third.

Enforcement ($5) went around carrying the most money with approximately 25 percent of the market with him. Accession was easily the best backed outside the favourite while Blazing Miss, which wound up fourth, was the subject of a big move which started on Wednesday when $11 was available. She jumped $5.50 third pick.

BETS: Accession $500 e/w @ $8.50/$2.80, $1,000 @ $7.50

BETS: Strasbourg $4,000 @ $5, $2,500 @ $5

BETS: Blazing Miss $3,000 @ $5.50

 

RACE SIX

Fell Swoop gave Hugh Bowman a treble when he led throughout to win the Razor Sharp Handicap (1200 metres).

The seven-year-old hovered around the $8-$9 mark throughout betting and attracted some decent bets, however, most of the attention was focused on the favourite Cradle Mountain.

The Clare Cunningham-trained runner was $1.90 and held more than six times the amount of money than any other horse.

Fell Swoop held the front and kept Cradle Mountain on his outside and that is how they finished, with Firsthand ($10) rounding out the trifecta.

BETS: Fell Swoop $1,000 @ $9

BETS: Cradle Mountain $9,000 @ $1.90, $7,000 @ $1.90

 

RACE SEVEN

Sky Boy was a popular result in the Fugen Construction Villiers Stakes (1600 metres).

The race favourite all the way through betting, Sky Boy ($3.20) bottomed out at $2.90 and although landing some nice investments, wasn't the most popular runner in the race. That honour went to Doubt Defying while Gaulois was next best tried.

Sky Boy benefited from a good run close to the speed, with Christian Reith riding him perfectly to land the cash over the fast-finishing Aloisia ($17) and My Nordic Hero ($8.50).

Doubt Defying ($7.50-$5.50) had been as much as $11 earlier in the week with the same story applying to Gaulois.

BETS: Sky Boy $2,000 @ $3.20, $5,000 @ $3, $1,700 @ $3, $2,000 @ $2.90

BETS: Gaulois $1,000 @ $6, $2,000 @ $5.50, $1,000 @ $5.50

BETS: Articus $1,000 e/w @ $21/$5

BETS: Sambro $1,000 @ $15

BETS: Doubt Defying $4,000 @ $5.50

 

RACE EIGHT

Tip Top was the third best tried runner in the Total Construction Handicap (1600 metres).

The Les Bridge-trained runner was very popular at the eachway quote and jumped as a $7 chance after being $7.50 earlier in the day.

He finished best down the centre of the track to knock off the favourite Organza ($2.80), with Roman Son ($8-$6.50-$8) finishing third.

The two placegetters were the two most popular runners and held 61 percent of the market between them.

BETS: Tip Top $1,000 @ $8, $350 e/w @ $8/$2.50, $500 @ $7 MULTIPLE TIMES, $500 @ $6.50 TWICE

BETS: Organza $2,000 @ $2.70

 

RACE NINE

Penske caused a minor upset in the Australian Turf Club Handicap (1400 metres).

The Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott-trained runner sat outside the leader Gresham and proved too strong at the $10 quote. Super Star Bob ($15), a runner that always has support, once again had admirers and charged home for second just in front of Gresham ($5.50-$6.50).

The disappointment in the race was Regent which was sent out the $4.60 favourite. It held more than three times as much money as anything else.

Outside of that, the move for Campari ($9-$4.80) was off the mark while Kool Vinnie ($13) attracted some big money late.

BETS: Regent $3,000 @ $4.60 MULTIPLE TIMES

BETS: Kool Vinnie $5,000 @ $13

 

FLEMINGTON

 

RACE ONE

Yes Yes Yes defied the betting drift to land the cash for its backers.

The Darren Weir-trained runner blew significantly late in betting, going from $3 out to $4.80 as there were moves for the likes of Absolute Flirt, Favourite things and First Dawn to beat it.

Yes Yes Yes proved way too strong down the straight, racing clear to beat Absolute Flirt ($10-$6.50) and Favourite Things ($10-$8.50). The latter had been $23 on Wednesday.

Despite getting out in the market, Yes Yes Yes was very popular with punters and delivered a hammer blow to the TAB.

BETS: Yes Yes Yes $1,000 @ $4.60, $1,000 @ $4.40, $2,000 @ $4.20, $3,000 @ $3.30, $2,000 @ $3.20

 

RACE TWO

A fairly wide open race saw the top and bottom runners dominate the hold.

Social Spin ($5.50) and Really Swish ($9-$4.60-$4.80) were easily the two most popular horses, holding approximately half of the total investment.

Social Spin appeared to have the race won at the 300 metres when it shot clear down the straight, however, Phoneme ($9.50) mowed it down in the shadows of the post.

Kaplumpich ($8.50) ran third just in front of the unlucky Really Swish which was held up until the latter stages of the event.

BETS: Phoneme $1,000 @ $9.50

BETS: Really Swish $1,000 @ $4.80 TWICE, $1,000 @ $4.60

BETS: Born Bad $2,000 @ $23

 

RACE THREE

Despite a late drift Masculino was too strong in the VRC Employee Volunteer Trophy (1720 metres).

Lachlan King got the best out of the popular elect, with the pair arriving right on the line to nail the well backed Kentucky Breeze ($6.50-$5) which gave a great sight out in front.

Etymology ($5.50) had its fair share of admirers and ran third.

Masculino went around with more than twice as much money as the next best supported runner, which was Etymology, while outside of those Boxachocolates ($7.50-$6.50) came in for good backing too.

BETS: Masculino $1,500 @ $3.40, $1,000 @ $3.40 TWICE, $2,000 @ $3.30, $1,500 @ $3.30, $1,000 @ $3.30 MULTIPLE TIMES, $3,000 @ $3, $2,000 @ $3

BETS: Kentucky Breeze $2,000 @ $5.50

BETS: Boxachocolates $1,750 @ $6.50

BETS: Etymology $2,000 @ $5.50 TWICE, $1,000 @ $5.50 TWICE

 

RACE FOUR

The win by Moor Wanted wasn't totally unexpected as it had attracted good eachway money throughout the day.

Moor Wanted was $14-$10 to win the Pin & Win Fundraiser Trophy (1200 metres) and was actually the second most popular runner outside of the favourite, Fallen Empire ($7.50-$4.80-$5).

The Peter Chow-trained runner finished best to beat Cash Affair ($9) and Fallen Empire in a great finish.

Fallen Empire went around with nearly 33 percent of the market.

BETS: Moor Wanted $1,000 @ $15 (taken Friday)

 

RACE FIVE

One of the best moves all day was for Chamois Road which pulled the job off in the Union Rd Traders Association Handicap (1410 metres).

The Patrick Payne-trained runner was $4.20 in the morning but by the jump, had been crunched into a dominant $2.40 favourite.

Sitting outside the leader, Chamois Road hit the front of straightening before hold off the late challenge of Rock 'N' Gold ($13) which had enjoyed a good run behind the leader throughout. Wenner ran on for third at $12.

Of the others, Muraahib ($3.20-$5) drifted in the market as did Ulmann ($3.30-$5).

BETS: Chamois Road $1,300 @ $3.70, $1,000 @ $3.60, $2,000 @ $3, $3,000 @ $2.40, $1,000 @ $2.40 MULTIPLE TIMES

BETS: Muraahib $9,500 @ $4.60

 

RACE SIX

One of the best tried runners all day across the country proved to be the punters pal once again.

Declares War was hammered in betting and jumped a very popular $3.10 favourite after being as much as $3.60 earlier in the day. TAB had offered $4.40 on Wednesday.

Going around with 65 percent of the total investment, jockey Mark Zahra had to weave some magic down the straight after being blocked for a clear run until the 200m mark. Once clear, Declares War shot through the gap and put paid to Naivasha ($16) and Five Kingdom ($5.50).

Not only was the Darren Weir runner popular in the Win market but he was heavily leveraged through multis as well. The race itself was a significant loser for TAB with a near seven-figure liability.

BETS: Declares War $10,000 @ $3.60, $4,000 @ $3.50, $20,000 @ $3.40, $8,000 @ $3.20, $2,000 @ $3.20 MULTIPLE TIMES, $2,500 x $3,500 e/w @ $3.20/$1.55

 

RACE SEVEN

The Saddle Up School Holiday Program Sprint (1100 metres) was one of the most open betting affairs of the day.

Moves came for Holbien ($7-5), Invincible Al ($6-$4.60 fav), Native Soldier ($5) and Thermal Current ($7.50) just to name a few.

In the end it was a drifter in betting, Whispering Brook ($4-$7.50) which proved best for Invincible Al, with Husson Eagle ($19) finishing well on the grandstand side for third.

BETS: Whispering Brook $2,000 @ $7.50, $1,000 @ $6.50

BETS: Thermal Current $3,000 @ $7.50

 

RACE EIGHT

Unavailable

 

RACE NINE

A sensational betting race to finish things off at Flemington.

The Wingate Avenue Community Centre Trophy (1100 metres) saw I Am Queen go around as the popular pick, with the Busuttin & Young runner responsible for roughly 20 percent of the market. Punters were also happy to shop around for some value too and latched on to the likes of Chatuchak ($13-$11), True Excelsior ($8), Fill The Flute ($7) and Naantali ($11).

It was left to Smart Coupe ($26-$34) to take the money with Damien Thornton aboard.

The mare finished best to beat Fill The Flute and True Excelsior with the well-tried Twitchy Frank ($5.50).

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