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Raceday wagering review

The wagering review of Saturday's TAB.com.au fixed odds betting and future market updates for races at the Golden Rose meeting at Rosehill and the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes meeting at Caulfield on Saturday.

FUTURES

 

EPSOM

Unforgotten $5-$4.50 (bet of $5,000 @ $5 taken this afternoon)

Noire $26-$15 (after winning Shannon Stakes)

Kingsguard $101-$26

Shumookh $101-$26 (after winning Golden Pendant)

Champagne Cuddles $51-$26

TAB EVEREST

Jungle Cat $51-$17 (after winning Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes)

Home Of The Brave $13-$26

Zousain $101-$51

Champagne Cuddles $101-$51

Prompt Response $51-$101

CAULFIELD GUINEAS

The Autumn Sun $5-$2.80fav (after winning Golden Rose)

Graff $8-$15

Zousain $26-$11

Extra Brut $51-$26 (after winning r1 @ Caulfield)

Gem Song $51-$26 (after winning r1 @ Rosehill)

THOUSAND GUINEAS

Mystic Journey (nn) $13 (after winning r6 @ Caulfield)

Spanish Whisper $26-$17

Anjana $13 – $26

Reginae $26 – $51

Seabrook $17 – $26

THE METROPOLITAN

Miss Admiration $26-$11 (after winning JRA Trophy)

CAULFIELD CUP

Night’s Watch $17-$8 (after winning Naturalism)

Odeon $51-$17 and then $26

Rising Red $51-$26

Our Venice Beach $26-$51

MELBOURNE CUP

Night’s Watch $101-$26 (after winning Naturalism)

Thinkin’ Big $301-$101 (after winning Gloaming Stakes)

ROSEHILL

 

RACE ONE

Gem Song ($3.40-$4) went around as a pretty popular pick in the Cabra-Vale Diggers Handicap (1300 metres).

The Kris Lees-trained runner was responsible for over 40 percent of the total investment and held more than double that of his nearest rival, Quackerjack ($5-$6.50).

Bursting through the pack over the concluding stages, Gem Song landed the cash to nose out Sweet Ava ($9.50-$11-$9.50) with Cristobal ($9.50) grabbing the minor end of the prize.

BETS: Gem Song $1,000 @ $4 MULTIPLE TIMES, $1,900 @ $3.80, $1,500 @ $3.70, $1,500 @ $3.40, $1,000 @ $3.40

BETS: Quackerjack $4,000 @ $5.50

 

RACE TWO

Seeblume ($8.50) had some backing to take out the TAB Highway (1500 metres), however, most of the attention focused on the top two in the market.

Think Like A Fox was heavily supported throughout the week, opening at $8 on Wednesday and firming from $5-$3.60 favourite off the back of good investment today.

Risk And Reward, on the other hand, was a drifter in the market and went from a $3 favourite out to $4.80 second pick.

Seeblume was the fourth most popular runner in the race and after a charmed run for Hugh Bowman, the Joseph Ible-trained mare was an impressive winner over Justice Honor ($31) and Vertex ($21-$34) which came from the rear.

Think Like A Fox accounted for 37 percent of the total investment.

BETS: Seeblume $1,500 @ $8.50

BETS: Think Like A Fox $9,500 @ $3.90

 

RACE THREE

The move for Thinkin' Big paid dividends after he led throughout to win the Gloaming Stakes (1800 metres).

Rated perfectly by Tim Clark, Thinkin' Big easily held race favourite Tarka ($2.60-$3) and Irukandji ($4-$3.90) in the run to the judge.

The Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott-trained runner was $6.50 this morning but weight of money saw it firm into $5. Only Tarka held more money than the winner.

BETS: Thinkin' Big $2,500 @ $5. $1,379 @ $5, $1,120 @ $5, $1,000 @ $5

BETS: Tarka $2,000 @ $3, $3,000 @ $2.90

 

RACE FOUR

Miss Admiration ($6) was pretty solid in the market for the JRA Trophy (2400 metres).

Sin To Win ($4-$4.40) went around as the most popular runner and accounted for 43 percent of the total investment.

Etah James ($8) and Harper's Choice ($4.60-$8) were next best while there was some late specking for Shalmaneser ($21-$14).

Goathland ($4.60-$5) had admirers once again.

 

RACE FIVE

The late money told the tale in the Shannon Stakes (1500 metres).

Noire ($3.80-$3.20) was backed into favouritism in the final five minutes of betting, replacing stablemate Youngstar ($3.10-$3.70) who had held favouritism since Wednesday.

Tommy Berry timed his run perfectly on the daughter of Foxwedge who came from the rear to beat Kingsguard ($13) and Youngstar.

Despite the late drift, most of the money sat with Youngstar who was responsible for over half the total investment.

BETS: Noire $5,000 @ $3.70

BETS: Youngstar $5,000 @ $3.30

 

RACE SIX

For successive races the money proved to be spot on, this time, in the JHB Syndications Golden Pendant (1400 metres).

Shumookh ($7.50-$6) was hammered late across fixed odds and tote betting and after leading, was able to narrowly hold on and defeat Champagne Cuddles ($5).

Shumookh began the week at $13.

Of the others, Invincibella ($5) actually went around as the most popular runner while Prompt Response ($5.50-$7.50), Dixie Blossoms ($8) and Daysee Doom ($7-$9) were next best.

BETS: Shumookh $1,000 @ $7.50, $3,000 @ $6, $1,000 @ $6

 

RACE SEVEN

The most popular runner with TAB customers saluted in the Group One De Bortoli Wines Golden Rose Stakes (1400 metres).

The Autumn Sun was easily the best supported runner throughout the week and again today, despite going from $3.80-$4.20 at the jump.

Settling near the rear, The Autumn Sun unleashed a devastating sprint to knock off stablemate Zousain ($6.50-$8.50) and race favourite Graff ($3.30-$2.90).

Such was the popularity of the winner that he was responsible for nearly 40 percent of the total investment.

Graff was next best supported while Lean Mean Machine ($5.50) and Seabrook ($9.50-$14) were best of the others.

BETS: The Autumn Sun $5,000 @ $4.40, $2,000 @ $4.20, $2,000 @ $4, $2,000 @ $3.90

BETS: Graff $2,000 @ $3.10, $3,000 @ $2.90, $2,000 @ $2.90

 

RACE EIGHT

Tip Top was the one to get the job done for punters in the Gow-Gates Handicap (1400 metres).

Ridden patiently by Tim Clark, Tip Top was strong to the line in holding off the late firming Fierce Impact ($7-$5.50), which came down the outside of the track. The leader Mandylion ($5-$4) held on for third.

Although Tip Top went $7.50 out to $10, the gelding was still very popular with eachway backers and was one of the more popular runners in terms of money taken.

The tag of most popular horse went to Astoria ($4.80-$5) in front of Fierce Impact and The Avenger ($4.40-$6.50).

BETS: Tip Top $4,000 e/w @ $8/$2.40

 

RACE NINE

The Lord Mayor was the nemesis of the TAB this week as his victory made it nine straight favourites to win the final event on the card in Sydney on a Saturday afternoon.

One of eight Chris Waller horses in the race3, The Lord Mayor ($5-$6.50) held approximately a quarter of the total investment heading into the Fugen Handicap (2000 metres).

James McDonald lifted the gelding over the line to beat a gallant Goodfella ($13) in an epic contest. Tamarack ($8.50) was third in front of the very unlucky Raqeeq ($10-$8.50) which never got a crack at them at any stage.

Romanesque ($6-$8) held the most money outside the winner and although a slight drifter today, did open at $11 on Wednesday.

BETS: The Lord Mayor $4,500 @ $6.50

CAULFIELD

 

RACE ONE

There was good money around to suggest Extra Brut was going to win the Danny O'Brien Racing Pinchapoo (1600 metres).

The Darren Weir runner was $7.50 on Wednesday and was $5.50 this morning before jumping a $6 chance. The most popular runner in terms of money held, Extra Brut benefitted from a good spot in the running before peeling out and nailing Thunderdome ($6.50) right on the line.

The runner-up just missed in landing a long range betting move, having gone $13 into as low as $5.50 from Wednesday onwards.

Louie The Legend ($17-$10) filled the minors with the big disappointment, from a betting perspective, being A Fighting Fury ($7.50) which was the second best tried runner in the event. Of the others, Global Exchange was $4 out to $4.80.

BETS: Extra Brut $3,000 e/w @ $5.50/$2.20

 

RACE TWO

This was a fantastic betting race with big money coming for Lucky For All despite it being a significant drifter in the market.

Lucky For All went $2.20 all the way out to $5 but still held approximately 45 percent of the total investment.

Snitzepeg was the most notable firmer, going $12 into $7.50 on the day while Al Galayel ($5.50-$4.40) went around as favourite thanks to the significant drift for Lucky For All.

BETS: Snitzepeg $4,000 e/w @ $8/$2.70

BETS: Lucky For All $3,000 @ $5, $2,000 @ $5

BETS: Octabello $5,000 @ $8

 

RACE THREE

Written By delivered a hammer blow to the TAB in taking out the Skyline Education Foundation Plate (1000 metres).

The Blue Diamond winner went around as TAB's Beat The Bookie horse which saw it go from red figures out to $2.25 at the jump. Punters jumped aboard the Grahame Begg runner which held a whopping 83 percent of the total investment.

Written By did all the work on the speed and still held off Gytrash ($9.50-$7.50) and Fine Dane ($8-$7.50) which led.

BETS: Written By $20,000 @ $2.25, $15,000 @ $1.26 PLACE, $9,975 @ $2.25, $5,000 @ $2.25

 

RACE FOUR

Tulip defied the betting drift to take out the Living Legends Handicap (1400 metres).

The Hayes, Hayes & Dabernig-trained runner sat outside Shoko ($6.50-$7) and proved too strong for that galloper at the finish. Mamzelle Tess ($16) wound up in third spot.

Tulip went around as the most popular runner and landed a number of big bets while Shokora ($4.80-$6) and Istria ($7.50) had good backing while the big firmer was Lady Of Flanders ($8.50-$4.40).

BETS: Tulip $3,500 @ $5.50 TWICE, $5,000 @ $4.80

BETS: Lady Of Flanders $4,000 @ $5

 

RACE FIVE

The Grassroots Sports Club for Mirabel Handicap (1100 metres) turned out to be one of the most open betting races of the day.

The winner, Spending To Win, actually held the most money and hovered around the $12-$13 mark throughout betting. Next best supported was Bandipur ($13-$10), Whypeeo ($3.50-$5.50) and Bryan ($18-$12).

Spending To Win overhauled Eduardo ($7.50) in the shadows of the post, while Bryan filled the minors.

 

RACE SIX

Very wide betting race the Aquis Jim Moloney Stakes for Pinchapoo (1400 metres).

Anjana ($4.60-$3.70) was very well tried throughout the day and went out with 30 percent of the total investment, while Reginae ($5-$4.80) was next best supported in front of Mystic Journey ($13-$19-$17).

Assertive Play ($6) had her share of admirers too.

It was left to Anthony Darmanin on Mystic Journey to defeat Spanish Whisper ($5.50) and Tahitian Dancer ($61).

BETS: Anjana $5,000 @ $3.60

BETS: Assertive Play $3,000 @ $5.50

 

RACE SEVEN

Night's Watch produced an outstanding effort to win the East Malvern Bendigo Bank MRC Foundation Cup (2000 metres).

Flying home late out wide on the track, Night's Watch ($2.70) landed some big bets in defeating Rising Red ($16) and Odeon ($10).

The Darren Weir-trained runner was easily the best backed runner in the race, going around 10 times as popular as anything else. He was responsible for 65 percent of the total investment.

BETS: Night's Watch $2,000 @ $3.50, $3,000 @ $3, $3,000 @ $2.90, $4,000 @ $2.70 TWICE, $2,400 @ $2.70, $8,000 @ $2.60, $3,000 @ $2.60 TWICE

 

RACE EIGHT

Jungle Cat was kept safe in the market for the Group One Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes (1400 metres).

Ridden a treat by James Doyle, Jungle Cat settled a little better than midfield before issuing his challenge on the turn. The Al Quoz Sprint winner finished down the straight hard to nail the leader Dollar For Dollar ($23) and the well backed Land Of Plenty ($5).

Jungle Cat opened at $9.50 earlier in the week and got to his best price of $13 at the jump.

It was the other two Godolphin horses in Home Of The Brave ($3.10-$5) and Osborne Bulls ($6) which held the lion's share of investments though. Between them they were responsible for nearly half of all bets on the race.

Outside of them, Peaceful State went $11-$9 and was the best tried late.

BETS: Jungle Cat $1,000 e/w @ $13/$3.90, $1,800 @ $10

BETS: Home Of The Brave $5,000 @ $4.40, $6,250 @ $4.20

BETS: Land Of Plenty $3,000 @ $5.50, $2,000 @ $5.50

 

RACE NINE

The one of the biggest firmers of the day landed a nice betting move in the final event on the card.

Winter Bride opened the day a $10 chance and by the time the race rolled around, $5 was on offer.

Jockey Ryan Maloney timed his run to perfection on the four-year-old, issuing his challenge down the outside of the track to beat the well supported Ellicazoom ($4.60) with Platinum Angel ($19) rounding out the trifecta.

I Am Excited ($4.40-$5-$4.80) went around as the most popular runner with nearly 30 percent of the money and wound up fourth. Of the others, Ellicazoom and Global Glamour ($4.60-$7) were next best tried.

BETS: Winter Bride $3,000 @ $9.50, $2,000 @ $6.50, $1,000 x $2,500 e/w @ $5/$1.95, $1,000 @ $4.80 TWICE

BETS: Ellicazoom $4,000 @ $4.60, $3,000 @ $4.60

BETS: I Am Excited $4,000 @ $5, $3,000 @ $5

BETS: Global Glamour $2,000 @ $7

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