Friday meeting preview, selections, comments and odds.
It’s Derby weekend in Singapore and the Group racing starts on Friday with the eighth running of the Group 2 Aushorse Golden Horseshoe.
The $325,000 feature is now the standalone Group event for Juveniles in Singapore and with an honour board that includes the likes of WAR AFFAIR and SUPER ONE (to name just two), the race is a breeding ground of future Singapore champions.
Who wins in 2018?
The Lim’s stable won the race in 2016 with LIM’S RACER and have two contenders in 2018 with LIM’S LIGHTNING and LIM’S DREAM.
Both will have a say and while LIM’S DREAM probably leads and may look the winner at some stage in the straight, it is the impressive last start winner in LIM’S LIGHTNING who will be hardest to beat.
The Australian-bred gelding still has a bit to learn - which is an ominous sign for his competitors - but he certainly got his act together in the third leg of the series when winning going away by four lengths.
From that same race, MY BIG BOSS and GALVARINO both look to have some upside and keep things interesting while the undefeated PENNYWISE looks an obvious choice and will have plenty of admirers on the day.
Best Bets: (LIM’S LIGHTNING race 6, win), (SMOOTH OPERATOR race 2, each-way) and (FUSION POWER race 3, value).
Bankers for Jackpots: Race 5 (1, 5, 8, 9 and 10), race 6 (1, 2, 3, 8 and 13), race 7 (1, 3, 4 and 10), race 8 (3, 4 and 10).
Race cards and Larry Foley's synopsis follows and for updates on all runners go to www.kranjiracing.com
Please note the odds listed are "reference odds" only.
Selections; 3 MORALES - 5 VENUS DE MILO - 1 DRAGON GOLD - 8 CAVATINA
While we will keep an eye on the Class dropper that may improves lengths in DRAGON GOLD, this weak maiden does look a race in two between MORALES and VENUS DE MILO. You can make a strong case for both and not surprisingly the two leading hoops have been booked with Rodd sticking with MORALES and more significantly, Duric replacing an apprentice on VENUS DE MILO. Apart from Duric, VENUS DE MILO also gets blinkers added and given the filly has been jumping from wide gates of late, she will appreciate the head-gear added and gate 3. But MORALES just missed last start and has also drawn to advantage so he will be hard to hold out and probably starts favourite (just). As mentioned, keep DRAGON GOLD safe back in his recent winning grade but nothing else wins on exposed recent form. Betting Strategy - DRAGON GOLD/VENUS DE MILO swinger/forecast.
1 DRAGON GOLD *** Mixes his form but significant drop in Class and forward run expected. 6.00
2 GOLDEN SPARK * Backing up from a poor effort last Friday and have to take on trust. 33
3 MORALES *** Just missed when dropping to Class 5 last start over 1400m and hard to hold out here with gate 2 a bonus. 2.50
4 DESTINY KNIGHT ** Placed last start over 1800m and while that trip looks his caper he will be thereabouts in this weak field. 12
5 VENUS DE MILO *** Maiden who has been running on well and gets her chance with blinkers added from better gate. 2.60
6 HALLELUJAH ** Impossible on exposed form but best work late last start suggests he has more to offer and will appreciate Class 5. 50
7 DICAPRIO * Another KY Young runner who was OK late last start but easier to ignore. 50
8 CAVATINA ** Last run better than the duck egg in the book and will be in the exotic mix. 12
9 HIGHLIGHT * Lame last start but was just battling. 50
10 KING OF THIEVES ** A win would surprise but battle away and another for exotics in this weak field. 12
Selections; 7 SMOOTH OPERATOR - 4 EASTERN VICTORY - 1 INTROIT - 2 ALL MY EYE
Given that only one horse comes off a last start placing (and that was a year ago) and some of the other leading hopes are also resuming, the tote will give us a good guide to what looks an interesting maiden. Of those resuming, INTROIT will be having his first start for Lee Freedman and also gets blinkers added on the back of some good trials while Stephen Gray has two first-up runners with MAI DARKO the better of the two on form from last year and his recent trial efforts. Of those with recent race form to their names, SMOOTH OPERATOR led and ran on solidly when blinkers were added last start over the mile and he could be hard to pass with gate 1 a factor. EASTERN VICTORY may very well be the horse that has the late momentum to win after a big effort late last start while SUN ELIZABETH did it tough last start and goes close on form prior. Of the rest, ACCUMULATION was good late last start and gets the Duric treatment so keep safe. Betting Strategy - SMOOTH OPERATOR win.
1 INTROIT *** Resuming for new trainer with blinkers added. Trials well enough to win this with gate 3 a factor. 3.00
2 ALL MY EYE ** Disappointing last start but happy to give another chance on work late two back. 20
3 MAI DARKO *** Resuming after more than a year off the track but has looked good at the trials and form from last year good enough to win this. 4.00
4 EASTERN VICTORY *** Never in the hunt before flying late when resuming. Big show on that effort. 6.00
5 DARCI SUPER * Just battled on debut but should improve for the effort. 50
6 HOUSEBOAT HARRY * Another Gray runner resuming after a long spell. Recent trial was OK but may need longer to show his best. 20
7 SMOOTH OPERATOR *** Led and battled on well over the mile when blinkers were added last start and in this a long way from the ace. 5.00
8 ACCUMULATION *** Form reads poorly but work late last start suggests he has more to offer and Duric helps. Value. 20
9 E SUPREME * Struggled on debut and hard to have. 100
10 SUN ELIZABETH *** Did it tough last start when disappointing with support but have to respect back over 1400m. 8.00
11 ARMY OF ONE ** Not a mile away at very long odds last start and pay to keep safe in exotics with no weight. 50
12 BLUE EYED BOY * Just battled at debut and prefer others. 100
Selections; 9 FUSION POWER - 3 SILKINO - 12 SUN PRINCEPS - 1 DREAMWEAVER
A cracking Class 4 (premier) Poly sprint and given you can make a serious winning case for the entire field, there should be value about and an each-way punting strategy may be a good option. Again, the Class droppers come into contention and heading that list is SILKINO who has been in super honest form and finally gets his chance back in winnable company. Likewise, SNIP appreciates the company but more importantly gets blinkers back on so goes close, FAITHFULLY will improve at odds while UNCLE LUCKY back on the Poly also appeals. But FUSION POWER may be the biggest Class dropper of them all given he had a crack at the Group 1 Guineas at his last start and while not firing a shot there, his form prior in this type of race was excellent. Too many others to mention but SUN PRINCEPS is an exciting type, DREAMWEAVER goes close while RACER KING and SOONABY are last start winners. Betting Strategy - FUSION POWER each-way.
1 DREAMWEAVER *** Yet to win on the Poly but showed last start he goes close in this company. 8.00
2 FAITHFULLY ** Wide gate a concern but drops back to winning grade and usually an each-way hope. 33
3 SILKINO *** Extremely honest Poly specialist who finally drops to winning company and gets his chance. 6.00
4 SNIP *** Another Class dropper who must be respected with blinkers back on with the switch to the Poly also in his favour. 12
5 SOONBABY *** Did it tough last start so effort to win was very good and has to be respected. 6.00
6 SUPER SIX *** Also did it tough when keeping Soonbaby honest last start and can figure. 12
7 THE WIND ** Form reads badly and drawn wide but appreciates Class 4 and will work into this late. 50
8 UNCLE LUCKY *** Wide draw a concern but almost pinched one on the turf at odds last start in Class 3 and much better suited here. Keep very safe. 12
9 FUSION POWER *** Had a crack at the Guineas (why not!) so ignore that run and can win on form prior in similar affairs to this. 6.00
10 RACER KING ** Won a non-premier event last start so this is tougher but showed enough to think he is in the mix again. 9.00
11 SOLDADO *** Yet to win on the Poly but foot on the till and can figure. 10
12 SUN PRINCEPS *** No match for winner last start but had everything else covered and happy to follow from gate 1. 6.00
13 STAR KING * Battled on OK when resuming but may need longer to show his best this campaign. 50
14 HONOR ** Too honest to leave out of exotics but this field is strong. 20
Selections; 3 LIM'S KNIGHT - 1 EAGLE EYE - 5 BENGAL LANCER - 9 THE CAPITAL
With only two horses coming off last start placings (and no last start winners) in the field, it may pay to look at some gear changes and horses down in grade to find the winner. EAGLE EYE ticks two of those boxes given the ex-Argentinean gets blinkers added after only battling in the Group 1 Guineas and he did win at listed level before arriving over this trip. THE CAPITAL gets blinkers and a tongue-tie added and he will improve on the back of a good trial while MAGIC CITY will find this easier than the Stewards' Cup. But the two horses with recent good form to their name in LIM'S KNIGHT and BENGAL LANCER will figure heavily in this finish. LIM'S KNIGHT ran on well late last start and from gate 2 he should be handier in running in this race while BENGAL LANCER fought hard and just missed last start and expect much the same. Go wider in exotics. Betting Strategy - LIM'S KNIGHT win, saver on EAGLE EYE.
1 EAGLE EYE *** Could make excuses for Guineas run and gets blinkers added on the back of a good trial. Keep safe. 6.00
2 MAGIC CITY *** Will find this easier than the Stewards' Cup and must be considered on the back of that solid effort. 6.00
3 LIM'S KNIGHT *** Ran on very well late last start and right in this with gate 2 a factor. 3.00
4 BATTLE OF TROY ** Drawn wide but led before battling on well last start and expect much the same. 12
5 BENGAL LANCER *** Just missed when fighting hard in similar affair last start and happy to follow. 4.00
6 COLCHESTER ** Form reads badly but did it tough last start and could figure at odds from gate 1. 20
7 MAJOR TOM ** Last start better than the result and could sneak a place at odds. 33
8 NIMITZ ** Did it very tough last start in this Company so worth another look. 33
9 THE CAPITAL *** Form starting to read badly but gets blinkers and tongue-tie and will improve on the back of a nice trial. 10
10 MIDDLE KINGDOM * Former UK galloper who had four starts for two wins. Local trials only fair so market best guide. 50
11 ARES * Blinkers off but just battling of late. 100
12 SOUTHERN DRAGON ** Looked to have some in hand late last start in similar affair so keep safe at odds. 20
Selections; 1 GOLD FAITH - 5 BILLY BRITAIN - 8 ACE HARBOUR - 10 MATSURIBAYASHI
Extremely hard to be confident in this Class 4 1800m Poly event with only a 17-start maiden in ACE HARBOUR having placed at their most recent outing. So obviously he gets his chance in this field and can win although punters will be wary given the support he has had previously. So who keeps ACE HARBOUR a maiden? GOLD FAITH was disappointing as favourite last start when dropping to this Class but gets his recent winning jockey in Vlad Duric back on-board and can make amends and likewise BILLY BRITAIN gets Alan Munro back on and the experienced hoop also enjoys a winning relationship with the gelding which counts for plenty. Of the others, MATSURIBAYASHI and CASEY both looked to have some in hand when working home late last start and both appreciate being back on the Poly so can win. Betting Strategy - BILLY BRITAIN each-way.
1 GOLD FAITH *** Disappointing with support last start but last win was with this hoop and can make amends. 4.00
2 O'REILLY BAY * Won two back but subsequent run a shocker so play with care from wide gate. 33
3 TURQUOISE KING ** Did it tough last start from wide gate and drawn the car park again but can show up on best form in this company. 33
4 ROMAN CLASSIC ** Wide gate a concern but had something in hand last start and improves again over this trip. 15
5 BILLY BRITAIN *** Form starting to read badly but this race suits and goes well for Munro. Value. 8.00
6 MR HOPKINS ** Never involved from wide gate last start and happy to give another chance on form - albeit maiden - prior. 12
7 RED RIDING WOOD ** Looks to have lost all form but race suits and could run a very cheeky race at odds from gate 1. 33
8 ACE HARBOUR *** Seventeen start Maiden who just missed over 2000m last outing in this grade. Handles the Poly and in the mix. 3.00
9 CASEY *** Looked to have more to offer when running on solidly last start in this company and can follow as maiden win was on the Poly. 12
10 MATSURIBAYASHI *** Another that looked to have something in the tank last start and goes close back on his preferred surface. 12
11 MONEY KING ** Disappointing with support last start but worth another look from gate 4. 8.00
12 GALAXY EXPRESS ** Like to see in easier company but eye-catching late last start so can include in exotics at value. 20
13 HOLY GRAIL ** Jockey reported issues last start so could forgive and take on better recent efforts. 33
Selections; 2 LIM'S LIGHTNING - 8 GALVARINO - 13 MY BIG BOSS - 1 PENNYWISE
A decent cheque awaits the winner of this Group 2 for the juveniles and with five last start winners in the capacity field, it should be a very competitive affair. Two of those winners stand out on paper with LIM'S LIGHTNING and PENNYWISE likely to be the punters elects. LIM'S LIGHTNING won by four lengths going away at start two and given he looks to still be learning, he could be hard to beat here. In saying that, PENNYWISE is the only horse in the field with two wins to his name and undefeated horses pick themselves in races like this. AUTUMN ASSAULT narrowly went down to PENNYWISE on debut before winning at his next start and he also looks a big show here. Of those that haven't managed a win yet, GALVARINO showed enough at his debut to think he is the improver on the back of some good trials while MY BIG BOSS gets winkers added and he could figure heavily in this finish if handier in running. Betting Strategy - LIM'S LIGHTNING win, couple with GALVARINO and MY BIG BOSS in exotics.
1 PENNYWISE *** Two from two and will figure very prominently throughout. 4.60
2 LIM'S LIGHTNING *** Placed in Novice company before commanding win against his own age. Hard to beat as can improve again. 3.00
3 AUTUMN ASSAULT *** Wide gate a concern but narrowly beaten by Pennywise on debut before winning next start with no weight. Keep safe. 12
4 MR HOOPER ** Won well on debut albeit with no weight in a Restricted Maiden and worth a look here. 12
5 STREETWISE ** Solid without being spectacular when winning last start but winkers may see more improvement. 12
6 DIXIELAND ROCK ** Never in the hunt last start but gets blinkers for this with best work expected late. 33
7 DRONE ** Freshened after being very disappointing with support last start but gets blinkers and could show his best. 33
8 GALVARINO *** Late Crazy Wins. Showed enough on debut behind Lim's Lightning to think he can be followed with subsequent nice trials a factor. 20
9 GAMELY ** Solid without being a winning threat at both starts and place looks very best from wide gate. 33
10 LEGENDARY ERA * Improved effort when blinkers were added last start but widest gate makes this tough. 100
11 LIM'S DREAM ** Gave them all something to catch last start on the turf and expect much the same from the ace. 20
12 MAKKEM LAD ** Led and battled on well when well beaten by Lim's Lightning last start and looks a handy enough type to follow. 12
13 MY BIG BOSS *** Has run on very well at both starts and would have a say if handier in running with winkers added a factor. 12
14 NADEEM SAPPHIRE ** Placed at very long odds in Restricted Maiden company on debut and have to respect. 33
15 TOOSBIES ** Gate a concern but ran on well on debut and will be better for the run. 20
16 SIAM VIPASIRI ** Excuses not to win on debut but wide gate makes winning this a tough ask. 20
17 MO ALMIGHTY * Did it tough enough on debut to think he has more to offer but wide gate doesn't help. 50
18 BOY NEXT DOOR * Recent trial with blinkers was solid but a tough race to make his debut. 50
Selections; 3 THE ONE - 1 ANGHIARI - 4 MUSCULAR CAPTAIN - 5 EVERTRUST
A Class 5 raffle late in the card makes it tough for jackpot/quaddie players but hopefully we can narrow the winning chances down to a handful including THE ONE who looks hardest to beat. The 4YO has only won twice in some 22 starts but has found form of late under Alan Munro and the experienced hoop can make use of gate 1 and add another win to his CV. Of the others with winning hopes, ANGHIARI is yet to win in some 27 career starts in Japan and Singapore but looks due and will figure late while MUSCULAR CAPTAIN was disappointing last start but is always a winning show in this type of race. Keep the last start winners in BERLINETTA and DRAGON safe but obviously not the types to win out of turn while EVERTRUST will be in front for a long way. Betting Strategy - small win THE ONE.
1 ANGHIARI *** Maiden who had everything covered bar the swooper last start in similar affair and goes close again. 6.00
2 MA YOU CAI * Battled away in a weak one last start and easier to ignore. 20
3 THE ONE *** Found form and could be hard to hold out with gate 1 a factor. 5.00
4 MUSCULAR CAPTAIN *** Never involved and disappointed last start but could make excuses and pay to keep safe with more positive ride expected. 8.00
5 EVERTRUST ** Trip can test but can lead and in this a long way. 8.00
6 DANGER ZONE ** Ran on without being a threat last start but always a show in this type of race. 5.00
7 DRAGON ** Ran on well to win last start but not the type to win out of turn. 8.00
8 GOLD MOSA ** Gate a concern but better effort last start and can follow. 12
9 BIG REGARDS * Ran on solidly last start but a better winning option on the turf. 12
10 BERLINETTA *** Won at odds last start after a solid run of form and pay to keep following. 12
11 PEREGRINE FALCON * Struggles on the Poly as a rule. 33
12 GRAND PARIS ** Nothing last start but runs on when in the mood so can include in exotics. 33
Selections; 4 SUPER DENMAN - 3 GOOD CATCH - 10 THE GOLDEN GOAT - 2 DECRETO
Not a lot of depth in the lucky last which should give SUPER DENMAN a chance to knock in his second career win. The 3YO had excuses for his only poor run of late and if Barend Vorster can get a handy enough run with cover from the awkward gate (10), he will be hard to hold out in the run to the wire. The speed has drawn inside him in gate 7 and GOOD CATCH will go forward and lead and while he has been found out late at some recent runs, a stable change to Donna Logan might see a result. THE GOLDEN GOAT will also race handy and given he had excuses last start (respiratory) and gets a 4kg claim, he could show his best and be in the thick of the finish. Nothing else jumps off the page to win but DECRETO and BOARD WALK will keep things honest. Betting Strategy - SUPER DENMAN win.
1 GOODFELLAS * Not the worst last start but hard to consider from the widest gate. 100
2 DECRETO ** Excuses last start and could consider on best form in a race that suits. 8.00
3 GOOD CATCH *** Speedster who has changed stables and will look the winner at some stage late. 6.00
4 SUPER DENMAN *** Excuses for only poor run of late and will figure heavily in this finish. 3.00
5 BOARD WALK ** Usually seen over 1200m but in form and will work into each-way calculations late. 7.00
6 KING KONG * Resuming after a poor run of form and would need support before considering. 33
7 REACH FOR THE SUN ** Battled away though traffic last start over 1000m and can be included in exotics. 20
8 GLORIA ECLIPSE * Won in easier company last start and wide gate makes this tough. 12
9 SMART FORTUNE * Resuming and trailing OK but hard to have on form from last campaign. 50
10 THE GOLDEN GOAT *** Excuses (respiratory) for poor run as favourite last start but was due prior and 4kg claim won't hurt. 4.00
11 SATTAR * Has been disappointing since maiden win and easier to ignore. 20
12 HEAVENLY HAND * Gets gate 1 but only battled last start and should need easier. 33
13 SATELLITE KINGDOM ** Maiden who can find easier but ran on well enough last start to consider in exotics at odds. 20
14 RICH FORTUNE ** Form better than it reads and could pinch a place but better in Class 5. 33