The market cannot make its mind up, as at mid-Friday afternoon, on the outcome of the feature at Rosehill on Saturday, the three-year-old’s in the $150,000, listed Smthfield RSL Club Rosebud (1100m), should either Menari be favourite or Siege Of Quebec with both sharing $3.10.
Gerald Ryan’s Snitzel colt Menari opened the market on Wednesday as the $2.80 favourite, eased to $3.00 and again to $3.10, while the Waterhouse and Bott trained Fastnet Rock colt Siege Of Quebec started at $3.50, firmed to $2.90, eased to $3.00 and then to $3.10.
Rosehill’s track was upgraded on Friday morning to a Good 3 with Sydney’s winter continued to bring warm and dry weather. The firm track, however, might not mean a material difference between the two to separate them.
Menari won his maiden over 1100m at Randwick back on January 14th on a Good 4 and then came second to Pariah in the Group 3 Canonbury Stakes over 1100m on another Good 4 on January 28th.
Then it was to Heavy tracks and the colt performed with distinction on the 10 rated track in the Group 1 Golden Slipper over 1200m in March. Fourth for the trip he finished in that position. He went forward for the Group 1 ATC Sires’ Produce Stakes over 1400m at Randwick on another Heavy track and it was a race to many.
Siege Of Quebec was not seen over the summer and autumn with the stable not producing him until June when he won on the Beaumont track at Newcastle over 1250m on a Good 4 on the 27th and again at Rosehill over 1400m on a similar track on July 15th.
This colt will be fit going into his third race and Ryan’s colt is commencing with two 900m trials at Rosehill under his belt, the last on August 1st.
However, Menari has raced against the best of his generation and not only earned black type but that fourth in the Slipper has a tradition of turning out a good three-year-old. Class against fitness, added to Siege Of Quebec coming back in distance from the 1400m of his last start so he will need his fitness and edge.
Then there is the weight. Menari carries 60.5kg against Siege Of Quebec with 54.5kg. That is a significant difference particularly with Menari first up and in theory many lengths advantage for the latter to make up for his lack of experience in higher grades.
Siege Of Quebec with Tim Clark and barrier one will lead and Josh Parr on Menari will have to settle from barrier five and move late.
Next in the market is Godolphin’s Trekking, the Street Cry colt who won on debut over 1100m at Rosehill on December 3rd, on a Good 4, and placed second in the Group 3 Black Opal Stakes over 1200m at Canberra, again on a Good 4.
He raced in the Slipper but drew wide, settled back under William Buick and the track prevented him from making progress. The colt will have benefited from the time off and while the distance might be too short he has a pedigree that suggests he might pull off anything when he has come to himself.
Trekking opened at $4.40 and eased to $5.00 before firming into $4.40. He carries 56.5kg under Brenton Avdulla with barrier two. Watch for a late arrival.
When picking a Rosebud the best is always better and Menari was close enough to the best last season to suggest that he has the class to overcome the weight impost so the $3.10 might be worth selecting.
The Rosebud is Race 6 at 2.55pm.
Note – Later on Friday afternoon Menari eased to $3.20 making Siege Of Quebec outright favourite at $3.10
Menari, picture Sportpix.com.au